Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.997117 3.578615 4.228131 5.005236 5.907438 6.919525 8.138412
2025-11-23 2.158672 2.899385 3.813865 5.016999 6.548220 8.420953 10.872393
2025-11-30 1.625475 2.411568 3.466628 4.966798 7.021826 9.711672 13.466735
2025-12-07 1.214097 1.969907 3.062565 4.725321 7.151724 10.515278 15.469731
2025-12-14 0.974706 1.711885 2.849264 4.684459 7.510356 11.620866 17.951014
2025-12-21 0.801530 1.514358 2.681457 4.666575 7.872900 12.738262 20.526575
2025-12-28 0.719696 1.448599 2.704495 4.938495 8.694518 14.598004 24.354573
2026-01-04 0.629697 1.348461 2.649787 5.066354 9.287339 16.145236 27.822702
2026-01-11 0.566431 1.284584 2.645324 5.273028 10.023296 17.973160 31.873581
2026-01-18 0.488501 1.175289 2.538551 5.277490 10.402613 19.236627 35.093509
2026-01-25 0.404438 1.035102 2.348859 5.097987 10.426099 19.887929 37.325047
2026-02-01 0.335078 0.911835 2.171715 4.914735 10.414414 20.463937 39.454534
2026-02-08 0.291492 0.840428 2.093942 4.925165 10.781233 21.764321 42.996345
2026-02-15 0.254337 0.776553 2.022237 4.938282 11.154176 23.107421 46.722327
2026-02-22 0.218702 0.708069 1.928242 4.889250 11.393541 24.215476 50.095130
2026-03-01 0.178155 0.615607 1.760835 4.651288 11.210462 24.489938 51.914118
2026-03-08 0.154069 0.564080 1.684539 4.611040 11.441586 25.591147 55.390414
2026-03-15 0.134457 0.520898 1.621788 4.593420 11.718074 26.801315 59.160067
2026-03-22 0.128583 0.520348 1.672542 4.861546 12.664193 29.455222 65.980656
2026-03-29 0.117842 0.500758 1.667555 4.987629 13.294268 31.492676 71.682447
2026-04-05 0.110677 0.491854 1.691454 5.191440 14.125791 34.015719 78.537696
2026-04-12 0.098194 0.460072 1.642845 5.195840 14.478749 35.529946 83.386981
2026-04-19 0.082567 0.411318 1.533576 5.018823 14.367780 36.015005 86.090723